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The Age are reporting: The future according to Bill Gates
Quote:
Bill Gates used his final Consumer Electronics Show keynote as Microsoft chairman to prognosticate on the "second digital decade" and show his human side via a hilarious farewell video.
He predicted computer users would soon throw out the keyboard and mouse in favour of interacting with the PC using hand gestures, and envisioned a world where computers were built into the furniture and far easier to use.
Gates has inaugurated the yearly Las Vegas gadget show, which opens on Monday, 10 times, but he intends to take a back seat at Microsoft come July to focus on philanthropy.
Gates kicked off his speech with a look back at the first digital decade, where the global installed base of PCs grew to over 1 billion machines, broadband rose from almost nothing to 250 million users and how over 40 per cent of the world's population now use mobile phones.
He pointed to software as the driver of many of the digital innovations of the past 10 years, allowing us to store, organise and share music and photos in a rich way via the PC.
"The trend here is clear - all media and entertainment will be software driven," Gates said.
Gates judged the past 10 years to be a "great success" but said there was nothing holding us back from going "much faster and further" in the second digital decade, which he said would be far more focused on users and connecting them with each other.
Computers would be everywhere - not just on the desk but built into the desk - and people would be able to access their files and applications seamlessly on any device, be it a mobile phone, computer or television.
Many of today's web activities, such as online shopping and online chat, would take place in virtual 3D environments, Gates predicted.
"No longer will users have to bridge between devices ... when you get a new phone or want to borrow a device it will be a very simple thing to be up and running [with all of your files and applications loaded automatically].
But Gates said the most underestimated change coming in the next 10 years was the shift to a "natural user interface", where users interacted with computers using hand gestures....
Not everyone was impressed with Bill Gates' keynote address:
Umbrella News are reporting: Don't Bet on Gates' Keynote Predictions
Quote:
(AP) - For the 10th time, Bill Gates will inaugurate the International Consumer Electronics Show in Las Vegas by touting new Microsoft Corp. products and describing his view of the future of computing.
Before you rush to the edge of your seat Sunday, consider this: Gates is a mediocre prognosticator.
In fairness, as the old joke goes, predictions are very hard, especially ones about the future. Scouting a technology on the horizon is one thing; it's another to foresee the business-execution problems and competitive troubles that might waylay it.
But hey, this is Bill Gates. That savvy guy who has spent more than 30 years atop what remains (for now, at least) the dominant entity in personal computing, a company that pours $7 billion a year into research and development. His drawing power is so strong that CES organizers always give Gates top billing at the industry's premier extravaganza.
And so, since this is Gates' last keynote before he leaves his day-to-day Microsoft duties to focus on philanthropy, it's as good a time as any to scour his track record.
Let's confine the examination to Gates' speeches at CES and Comdex, a now-defunct show that once rivaled CES. Because if we went beyond Gates' Las Vegas addresses, we'd have to mention his 2004 pledge to the World Economic Forum that spam would be "solved" by 2006. And that wouldn't look good....
I'd be more interested to hear what JOBS has to say.
He's the one responsible for the FUTURE trends in just about everything from personal computer operating systems, personal music use, cell phone capabilities and functionality, integration of hand held devices with home computers and the internet, home entertainment incorporating computers and video/photos/music, the speed of downloading large files including movies and transferring them, via wifi to monitors and or TVs, not to mention animation software for full length movies.....on and on and on........
infact, if you check your history, of the first WINDOWS OS, it was Jobs and the rest of APPLE computer who had their OS "stolen" from them by Gates/microsoft.
The future according to Bill Gates
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